Trump Shows Care And Gratitude To Enemy Amidst Election Drama

Daily Report September 18,2024

As Georgia voters firm up their preferences ahead of the 2024 election, a recent poll suggests that Donald Trump could reclaim the state’s 16 electoral votes. However, a notable portion of the Black electorate remains undecided, leaving room for shifts in voter sentiment.

Trump won Georgia in 2016 but lost narrowly in 2020. According to a survey conducted by the University of Georgia’s School of Public and International Affairs, and released by the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, the former president currently leads Vice President Kamala Harris by 47% to 44%, with 7% of voters still unsure of their choice.

This lead is within the poll’s margin of error of +/- 3.1%, meaning the outcome is still uncertain. However, if these figures hold, Trump is less likely to face the same post-election controversies he did in 2020, when he tried to “find” additional votes after his loss.

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While polling in Georgia and nationwide has fluctuated during this election cycle, the AJC’s data could carry more weight since most voters appear to have made up their minds. Fewer than 3% of voters who have already committed to a candidate say they might change their choice.

Kamala Harris has seen some improvement in recent polling. In June, Trump led President Biden 51% to 46%. When Harris replaced Biden on the Democratic ticket, Trump maintained the same lead. However, Harris continues to struggle with key demographics.

The vice president has garnered only 86% support within her own party and 77% among Black voters—a group she has actively courted, including through a July rally in Atlanta where rapper Megan Thee Stallion performed. At that event, Harris declared that “momentum is shifting” in the race. Despite these efforts, 12% of Black voters remain undecided, indicating that Trump’s outreach to this demographic may be gaining traction.

Meanwhile, Trump appears to be consolidating his base, particularly following a well-publicized reconciliation with Georgia Governor Brian Kemp. More than 90% of GOP voters back Trump, who also enjoys overwhelming support among white voters and a majority of seniors.

Nevertheless, there are some optimistic signs for Harris. Nearly half (48%) of the poll’s respondents predict a Democratic win in November. Interestingly, this includes 14% of Republicans. Meanwhile, 8% of Democrats believe Trump will be victorious.

The RealClearPolitics average of polls shows a much tighter race, with Trump holding a 0.2% lead. However, this average does not yet factor in the latest AJC poll results.