Trump Leads Biden By Eight Points in Arizona 

Daily Report June 15,2024

A recent poll by AARP/Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research shows former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden in a five-way presidential race in Arizona.

Trump gained 45% support among likely voters, while Biden gained 37% and Independent party candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. gained 11%. The poll also shows Trump leading in a two-way race among respondents aged 18 and older, with a 50%-44% margin.

According to the poll, voters have become dissatisfied with Biden’s performance, with only 36% approving of his presidency, compared to 53% who approve of Trump’s performance during his time in office.

Arizona is among the battleground states in the presidential election. In 2020, Biden won Arizona, gaining 49.36% of the vote compared to 49.06 % for Trump. In 2016, the state supported Trump, who won by a margin of 3.5 points against former presidential aspirant Hillary Clinton (D).

According to the AARP poll, 41% of voters aged 50 and above list immigration as the most important issue when deciding who to vote for in November. The next most important issues are inflation and rising prices 28% and threats to democracy 27%.

Around 54% of these voters cite personal economic issues as their main concerns, including inflation and rising prices, the economy, jobs and social security.

The poll also shows that 52% of Arizona voters aged 50 and above say they would support Trump, compared with 43% for Biden in a nine-point lead.

Around 94% of Arizona voters aged 50 and older say they will vote in the November election. A majority of 63% say they plan to cast an absentee or mail-in ballot and 21% say they will vote in person.

The poll was conducted from May 28 to June 4, before and after Trump’s conviction in the hush money case. The margin of error is + 4% for the 600 likely voters and ‡ 3.5% for the strictly 50 and up sample.


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